Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
| 43.77% | 28.08% | 28.15% |
| Both teams to score 45.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.77% | 60.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% | 80.41% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% | 62.81% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% | 37.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% | 74.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% 2-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 8.45% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.82% Total : 43.76% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.15% |