Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Braga |
16.41% | 21.09% | 62.5% |
Both teams to score 51.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% | 45.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% | 67.48% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.34% | 40.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.75% | 77.25% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% | 13.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.77% | 41.23% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 5.07% 2-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 2.28% 3-1 @ 1.35% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.41% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 0-2 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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