Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Feb 17, 2021 at 9.45pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 2
Farense

Pepelu (14'), Edwards (36')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gauld (21' pen.), Stojiljkovic (79')
Pinto (38'), Abner (55')
Pinto (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	SC Farense
48.17%	27.24%	24.59%

Both teams to score 45.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.69%

59.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.29%

79.71%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.27%

24.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.72%

59.28%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.9%

40.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26%

76.74%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 48.17%

SC Farense 24.59%

Draw 27.24%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.17%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.59%