Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
