Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Braga

Nacional
1 - 2
Braga

Riascos (69')
Pedrao (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fransergio (25'), Ruiz (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBraga
22.85%24.2%52.94%
Both teams to score 51.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59%49.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55%71.45%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82%36.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04%72.96%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39%18.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.1%49.9%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 22.85%
    Braga 52.94%
    Draw 24.2%
NacionalDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 22.85%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 9.52%
1-3 @ 5.42%
0-3 @ 5.34%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 2.24%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.94%

How you voted: Nacional vs Braga

Nacional
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Braga
100%
14