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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Braga
Nacional
1 - 2
Braga
Riascos (69')
Pedrao (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fransergio (25'), Ruiz (29')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBraga
22.85%24.2%52.94%
Both teams to score 51.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59%49.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55%71.45%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82%36.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04%72.96%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39%18.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.1%49.9%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 22.85%
    Braga 52.94%
    Draw 24.2%
NacionalDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 22.85%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 9.52%
1-3 @ 5.42%
0-3 @ 5.34%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 2.24%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.94%

How you voted: Nacional vs Braga

Nacional
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Braga
100%
14
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
2-1
Nacional
Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')
Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')
Jan 18, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 18
Nacional
0-3
Braga

Riascos (10'), Ferreira (72')
Horta (61'), Murilo (73'), Paulinho (86')
Santos (10'), Sousa (14')
Aug 12, 2018 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
4-2
Nacional
Sousa (4', 32'), Horta (48', 72')
Figueiras (71')
Rochez (23' pen., 37')
Cerqueira (15'), Jota (43'), Alhassan (81')
May 14, 2017 8.15pm
Braga
4-0
Nacional
Cesar (9' og.), Stojiljkovic (37', 42'), Neto (81')
Jorge (11'), Ferreira (88')

Goncalves (27'), Correia (56'), Jota (85')
Jan 7, 2017 11.45am
Nacional
0-0
Braga
Correia (55'), Willyan (66'), Witi (74'), Campos (93')
Djavan (11'), Baiano (30'), Eduardo (39'), Crislan (59'), Xeka (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25212275255065
2Benfica26204260213964
3Porto26184450183258
4Braga26165555342153
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26155641271450
6MoreirenseMoreirense2612682827142
7AroucaArouca26104124337634
8FamalicaoFamalicao2561092430-628
9Gil Vicente2677123539-428
10BoavistaBoavista2677123351-1828
11Casa Pia2676132339-1627
12SC FarenseFarense2676133438-427
13Estrela Amadora2668122639-1326
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2674154249-725
15Rio AveRio Ave2641392635-925
16PortimonensePortimonense2665152453-2923
17Vizela2649132652-2621
18ChavesChaves2647152556-3119

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