Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 21, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Tondela

Braga
4 - 2
Tondela

Piazon (18', 50'), Horta (40'), Novais (42')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Anne (84'), Jaquite (90+4')
Martinez (22'), Arcanjo (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawTondela
66.23%19.57%14.21%
Both teams to score 50.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25%42.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84%65.15%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.96%12.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.48%37.52%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84%42.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43%78.57%
Score Analysis
    Braga 66.22%
    Tondela 14.21%
    Draw 19.57%
BragaDrawTondela
2-0 @ 11.37%
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-0 @ 4.25%
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.99%
5-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 66.22%
1-1 @ 9.28%
0-0 @ 5.07%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.57%
0-1 @ 4.38%
1-2 @ 4.01%
0-2 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.22%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.21%

How you voted: Braga vs Tondela

Braga
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Tondela
0.0%
10