Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 20, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
2 - 1
Nacional

Ribeiro (29'), Cardoso (69' pen.)
Cardoso (30'), Esgaio (52'), Ribeiro (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gorre (44')
Pedrao (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Nacional
32.65%	29.53%	37.81%

Both teams to score 43.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.23%

63.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.98%

83.02%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99%

36.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21%

72.79%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.46%

32.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93%

69.07%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 32.65%

Nacional 37.81%

Draw 29.52%

Belenenses	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.99% Total : 32.65%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.52%	0-1 @ 13.15% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.81%