Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.31%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Belenenses |
| 43.31% | 29.37% | 27.31% |
| Both teams to score 41.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.31% | 64.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.33% | 83.67% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% | 29.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.17% | 65.83% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% | 40.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% | 77.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 14.69% 2-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 8% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.37% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 12.12% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.3% Total : 27.31% |