Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 31.59% | 27.94% | 40.47% |
| Both teams to score 47.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.43% | 58.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.86% | 79.14% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% | 34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.32% | 70.68% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.59% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.47% |