Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Mar 1, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Seferovic (59'), Pizzi (78')
Silva (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Rio Ave
66.62%	20.12%	13.25%

Both teams to score 46.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.74%

47.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51%

69.49%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.72%

13.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.9%

40.09%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.6%

46.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.97%

82.02%

Score Analysis

Benfica 66.61%

Rio Ave 13.25%

Draw 20.12%

Benfica	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 12.55% 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 4.27% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.7% Total : 66.61%	1-1 @ 9.55% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.12%	0-1 @ 4.73% 1-2 @ 3.67% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 0.95% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.25%