Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.35%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Benfica |
11.42% | 19.45% | 69.13% |
Both teams to score 43.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.29% | 48.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.18% | 70.82% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.62% | 50.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.08% | 84.92% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% | 12.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% | 39.5% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.49% 2-1 @ 3.14% 2-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.26% Total : 11.42% | 1-1 @ 9.16% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.45% | 0-2 @ 13.63% 0-1 @ 13.35% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-3 @ 9.28% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 4.73% 1-4 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-5 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.64% Total : 69.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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