Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Mar 8, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
0 - 3
Benfica

Ramires (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Seferovic (55', 58'), Verissimo (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.35%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Benfica
11.42%	19.45%	69.13%

Both teams to score 43.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.29%

48.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.18%

70.82%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.62%

50.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.08%

84.92%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.01%

12.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.5%

39.5%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 11.42%

Benfica 69.12%

Draw 19.45%

Belenenses	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.49% 2-1 @ 3.14% 2-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.26% Total : 11.42%	1-1 @ 9.16% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.45%	0-2 @ 13.63% 0-1 @ 13.35% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-3 @ 9.28% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 4.73% 1-4 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-5 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.64% Total : 69.12%