Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Boavista |
| 42.63% | 28.33% | 29.04% |
| Both teams to score 45.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.29% | 60.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.23% | 80.77% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% | 28.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% | 63.88% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.92% | 37.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% | 73.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% 2-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 8.31% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.69% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.79% Total : 29.03% |