Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 26, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Sousa (51'), Teixeira (90+1')
Henrique (4'), Sousa (4'), Teixeira (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marques (43')
Carvalho (21'), Rodrigao (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Gil Vicente
33.78%	29.11%	37.11%

Both teams to score 44.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.72%

62.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06%

81.94%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58%

34.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.87%

71.13%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79%

32.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3%

68.7%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 33.77%

Gil Vicente 37.1%

Draw 29.1%

Belenenses	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.77%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 12.55% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 7.11% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.1%