Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Nacional |
33.52% | 29.8% | 36.68% |
Both teams to score 42.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.48% | 64.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.45% | 83.55% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.21% | 35.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.43% | 72.56% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% | 33.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% | 70.3% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.03% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.04% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 13.11% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |