Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Mar 14, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 4
Gil Vicente

Rochinha (40'), Lameiras (79')
Fernandes (7'), Suliman (32'), Andre (83')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Marques (19'), Lourency (26'), Talocha (45+2' pen.), Silva (80')
Talocha (31'), Nogueira (51'), Ricardo Soares Ribeiro (64'), Silva (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
45.57%	28.14%	26.29%

Both teams to score 44.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.69%

61.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77%

81.22%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07%

26.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74%

62.25%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.29%

39.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.62%

76.38%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.56%

Gil Vicente 26.29%

Draw 28.13%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.84% Total : 45.56%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.41% Total : 26.29%