Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 30.2% | 29.42% | 40.38% |
| Both teams to score 42.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.12% | 63.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.9% | 83.1% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% | 37.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% | 74.68% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% | 31.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% | 67.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 13.76% 0-2 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-3 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.38% |