Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 21, 2021 at 3pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Pedro (33'), Ferreira (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Estupinan (23')
Sacko (70'), Pepelu (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
28.11%	29.35%	42.54%

Both teams to score 42.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.69%

64.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.6%

83.4%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.16%

39.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5%

76.5%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70%

30%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88%

66.12%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 28.11%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.53%

Draw 29.34%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.11%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.34%	0-1 @ 14.38% 0-2 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.05% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 42.53%