Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.95% | 22.93% | 61.11% |
Both teams to score 44.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% | 53.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.12% | 74.88% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.82% | 46.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.14% | 81.86% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% | 17.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.77% | 47.23% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.09% 2-1 @ 4.16% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.95% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 13.93% 0-2 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-4 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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