Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
28.62% | 28.33% | 43.05% |
Both teams to score 44.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.13% | 60.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.1% | 80.89% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% | 37.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% | 74.28% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% | 63.69% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.62% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 13.36% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-3 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.15% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.7% Total : 43.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 27 | 57 | 77 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 70 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 59 |
4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 59 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 35 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 29 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 28 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 22 |
18 | Vizela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 21 |
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