Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Feb 2, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 2
Pacos de Ferreira

Abbas (88')
Baraye (19'), Lourency (52'), Talocha (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Amaral (16'), Carlos (35')
Singh (30'), Fonseca (64'), Rebocho (75'), Eustaquio (90+2'), Ferreira (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
28.62%	28.33%	43.05%

Both teams to score 44.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.13%

60.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.1%

80.89%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5%

37.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72%

74.28%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96%

28.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31%

63.69%

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 28.62%

Pacos de Ferreira 43.04%

Draw 28.32%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.62%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 13.36% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-3 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.15% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.7% Total : 43.04%