Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Braga |
26.52% | 25.6% | 47.88% |
Both teams to score 51.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.02% | 51.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% | 73.72% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.61% | 34.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.9% | 71.1% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% | 21.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% | 54.88% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.52% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 1% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |