Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 24, 2021 at 3pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Africo (38'), Bambock (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Costa (29'), Carlos (48'), Singh (85')
Fonseca (43'), Ferreira (61'), Singh (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
31.93%	28.51%	39.56%

Both teams to score 45.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.48%

60.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37%

80.63%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22%

34.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48%

71.52%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17%

29.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09%

65.91%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 31.92%

Pacos de Ferreira 39.56%

Draw 28.5%

Maritimo	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.92%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.5%	0-1 @ 12.55% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.49% Total : 39.56%