Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 34.43% | 29.18% | 36.4% |
| Both teams to score 44.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.55% | 62.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.94% | 82.06% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% | 34.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% | 70.74% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% | 32.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% | 69.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 12.45% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.4% |