Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 38.62% | 26.64% | 34.73% |
| Both teams to score 51.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% | 53.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% | 74.61% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% | 26.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% | 62.05% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% | 29.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% | 64.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.73% |