Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Maritimo |
| 45.68% | 27.17% | 27.15% |
| Both teams to score 47.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.46% | 57.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.68% | 78.32% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% | 25.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% | 59.85% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% | 36.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.34% | 73.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.15% |