Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Feb 5, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Morais (30'), Rene (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Goncalves (9', 57')
Pereira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.8%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
14.09%	21.48%	64.44%

Both teams to score 44.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.95%

51.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09%

72.9%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.55%

47.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.18%

82.82%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84%

15.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24%

43.76%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 14.09%

Sporting Lisbon 64.43%

Draw 21.47%

Maritimo	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.36% 2-1 @ 3.77% 2-0 @ 2% 3-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.09%	1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.47%	0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 12.8% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 6% 0-4 @ 3.8% 1-4 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-5 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.05% Total : 64.43%