Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 31, 2021 at 3pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Maritimo

Estupinan (48')
Mumin (41'), Suliman (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rene (10'), Hermes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Maritimo
50.91%	27.27%	21.82%

Both teams to score 42.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.53%

61.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.66%

81.34%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59%

24.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.17%

58.83%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.94%

44.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83%

80.17%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.9%

Maritimo 21.82%

Draw 27.27%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 15.16% 2-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.22% Total : 50.9%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 5.1% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 0.99% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.82%