Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Jan 2, 2021 at 6pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Braga

Goncalves (54'), Nunes (78')
Porro (79'), Nunes (90+1'), Antunes (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Galeno (37'), Silva (51'), Elmusrati (58'), Magalhaes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
45.3%	25.31%	29.39%

Both teams to score 54.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.91%

49.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.84%

71.16%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33%

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2%

54.8%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33%

30.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08%

66.92%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 45.3%

Braga 29.39%

Draw 25.31%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.3%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.39%