Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 17, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
2 - 0
Maritimo

Cardoso (37' pen.), Teixeira (88')
Ribeiro (56'), Phete (73'), Kritsyuk (87'), Cardoso (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hermes (50'), Rene (73'), Correa (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Maritimo
36.26%	29.37%	34.37%

Both teams to score 43.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.91%

63.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.47%

82.53%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.82%

33.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22%

69.78%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85%

71.15%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 36.25%

Maritimo 34.37%

Draw 29.36%

Belenenses	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 12.6% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.25%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.36%	0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.37%