Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Maritimo |
36.26% | 29.37% | 34.37% |
Both teams to score 43.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.91% | 63.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.47% | 82.53% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% | 33.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.22% | 69.78% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.56% | 34.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.85% | 71.15% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 12.6% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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