Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Mar 7, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 2
Moreirense

Jean (29'), Joel (45+3'), Morais (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Soares (23', 89')
D'Alberto (14'), Pacheco (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.16%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Moreirense
29.87%	30.97%	39.16%

Both teams to score 38.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.49%

68.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.73%

86.27%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19%

40.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.62%

77.38%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79%

34.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1%

70.9%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 29.87%

Moreirense 39.15%

Draw 30.96%

Maritimo	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.51% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.3% Total : 29.87%	0-0 @ 13.95% 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 3.23% Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.96%	0-1 @ 14.97% 0-2 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-3 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.15%