Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.16%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Moreirense |
29.87% | 30.97% | 39.16% |
Both teams to score 38.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.49% | 68.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.73% | 86.27% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.19% | 40.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.62% | 77.38% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% | 34.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.1% | 70.9% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.51% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.3% Total : 29.87% | 0-0 @ 13.95% 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 3.23% Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.96% | 0-1 @ 14.97% 0-2 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-3 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |