Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Apr 5, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
1 - 0
Maritimo

Waldschmidt (21' pen.)
Weigl (23'), Silva (72'), Nunez (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rene (38'), Winck (38'), Pelagio (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Maritimo
78.64%	14.48%	6.88%

Both teams to score 40.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.83%

41.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43%

63.57%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.5%

8.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.54%

29.46%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.4%

55.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.76%

88.23%

Score Analysis

Benfica 78.64%

Maritimo 6.88%

Draw 14.48%

Benfica	Draw	Maritimo
2-0 @ 14.36% 3-0 @ 11.8% 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 8.43% 4-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-1 @ 4.27% 5-0 @ 3.59% 5-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.03% 6-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.48% Total : 78.64%	1-1 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 4.73% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.48%	0-1 @ 2.78% 1-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 2.09% Total : 6.88%

How you voted: Benfica vs Maritimo

Benfica

95.0%

Draw

5.0%

Maritimo

0.0%

Benfica1 - 0Maritimo

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

How you voted: Benfica vs Maritimo

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Benfica
1 - 0
Maritimo