Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Maritimo

Nacional
1 - 2
Maritimo

Gorre (44')
Bessa (70'), Kal (74'), Gorre (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pinho (58', 65')
Pinho (69'), Costa (90'), Abedzadeh (90+3'), Sassa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMaritimo
34.07%28.97%36.96%
Both teams to score 44.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.24%61.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.44%81.56%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06%33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39%70.61%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96%32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5%68.5%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 34.06%
    Maritimo 36.96%
    Draw 28.96%
NacionalDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.06%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.96%
0-1 @ 12.37%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.96%

How you voted: Nacional vs Maritimo

Nacional
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Maritimo
17.9%
28
rhs 2.0


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