Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Mar 5, 2021 at 6.30pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Nacional

Singh (15', 33')
Marcelo (10'), Carlos (57'), Eustaquio (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rochez (90+4')
Micael (57'), Cesar (64'), Pedrao (68'), Borges (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 42.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Nacional
42.66%	29.14%	28.2%

Both teams to score 42.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.36%

63.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.07%

82.93%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4%

29.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36%

65.64%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.61%

39.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91%

76.09%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 42.66%

Nacional 28.19%

Draw 29.14%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 14.19% 2-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.05% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.43% Total : 42.66%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.14%	0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.19%