Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Feb 8, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 2
Santa Clara

Joel (61' pen.)
Pelagio (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Crysan (74'), Carlos (78')
Villanueva (59'), Carlos (79'), Mansur (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Santa Clara
25.97%	28.37%	45.65%

Both teams to score 43.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78%

62.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1%

81.9%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.5%

40.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.89%

77.1%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69%

27.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24%

62.75%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 25.97%

Santa Clara 45.65%

Draw 28.36%

Maritimo	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 5.87% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.31% Total : 25.97%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.36%	0-1 @ 14.35% 0-2 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.31% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.75% Total : 45.65%