Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Belenenses |
| 68.17% | 20.97% | 10.85% |
| Both teams to score 37.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.18% | 55.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% | 76.94% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% | 15.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% | 44.47% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.15% | 55.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.62% | 88.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 16.15% 2-0 @ 15.04% 3-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 4.35% 4-1 @ 2.53% 5-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 68.16% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 2.55% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 5.06% 1-2 @ 2.74% 0-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.58% Total : 10.85% |