Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
53.3% | 25.75% | 20.96% |
Both teams to score 45.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.82% | 57.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% | 78.04% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% | 21.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.41% | 54.59% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.53% | 42.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.16% | 78.85% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 14.04% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 4.73% 4-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.29% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |