Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Mar 5, 2021 at 8.45pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Goncalves (22'), Coates (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (84')
Carvalho (41'), Cardoso (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Santa Clara
59.42%	24.1%	16.48%

Both teams to score 42.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.25%

56.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.3%

77.7%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07%

18.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56%

50.44%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.47%

47.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.12%

82.88%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 59.42%

Santa Clara 16.48%

Draw 24.1%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 14.97% 2-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.14% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.91% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.77% Total : 59.42%	1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 3.45% Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.69% 1-2 @ 4.14% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.48%