Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
| 60.37% | 23.76% | 15.87% |
| Both teams to score 42.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.54% | 56.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.54% | 77.46% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% | 18.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% | 49.66% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.83% | 48.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.65% | 83.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 15.02% 2-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.22% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.91% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.87% Total : 60.36% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 3.39% Other @ 0.5% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.5% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.87% |