Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Porto had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
36.46% | 26.39% | 37.16% |
Both teams to score 52.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.16% | 51.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.41% | 73.59% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% | 27.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% | 62.94% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% | 27.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.59% | 62.41% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |