Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 28.15% | 28.61% | 43.24% |
| Both teams to score 43.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.02% | 61.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.28% | 81.72% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% | 75.24% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% | 28.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% | 64.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.15% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 13.76% 0-2 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-3 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.61% Total : 43.23% |