Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Mar 13, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Khacef (40'), Olabe (52'), Alves (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tomas (81')
Coates (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
17.81%	23.78%	58.41%

Both teams to score 45.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24%

53.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76%

75.24%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.95%

44.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83%

80.16%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81%

18.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.81%

49.18%

Score Analysis

Tondela 17.81%

Sporting Lisbon 58.39%

Draw 23.78%

Tondela	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.69% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.81%	1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 13.65% 0-2 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-4 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-5 @ 0.96% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.39%