Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 16, 2021 at 9pm UK

Estádio de São Luís

Farense
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Gauld (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Goncalves (35')
Reis (40'), Adan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.28%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
16.08%	23.02%	60.9%

Both teams to score 44.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.54%

53.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.01%

74.99%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.92%

46.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.21%

81.78%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81%

17.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.55%

47.45%

Score Analysis

SC Farense 16.08%

Sporting Lisbon 60.89%

Draw 23.01%

SC Farense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.14% 2-1 @ 4.19% 2-0 @ 2.38% 3-1 @ 1.08% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.08%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.01%	0-1 @ 13.94% 0-2 @ 12.28% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-4 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-5 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.89%