Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 22, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Portimonense
1 - 5
Benfica

Beto (43')
Poha (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pizzi (45+2'), Nunez (50'), Seferovic (64', 73'), Everton (90+4')
Gabriel (6'), Otamendi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
18.85%	23.73%	57.41%

Both teams to score 47.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.81%

52.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.1%

73.9%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.1%

41.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.65%

78.34%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03%

17.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18%

48.82%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 18.85%

Benfica 57.41%

Draw 23.73%

Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.55% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 2.85% 3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.85%	1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.73%	0-1 @ 12.92% 0-2 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-4 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.41%