Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Apr 10, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 5
Benfica

Costa (58')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Goncalves (38'), Silva (45'), Seferovic (45+8', 78'), Nunez (89')
Goncalves (28'), Verissimo (33'), Grimaldo (43'), Waldschmidt (58'), Seferovic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Benfica
18%	24.43%	57.58%

Both teams to score 44.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.15%

55.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03%

76.97%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.94%

45.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.02%

80.98%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71%

19.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.97%

51.03%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 18%

Benfica 57.57%

Draw 24.42%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.93% 2-1 @ 4.55% 2-0 @ 2.76% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.56% Total : 18%	1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 14.3% 0-2 @ 11.76% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 5.15% 0-4 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.69% Total : 57.57%