Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
| 38.57% | 29.79% | 31.64% |
| Both teams to score 42.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.28% | 64.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.3% | 83.69% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% | 32.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% | 69.09% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% | 37.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% | 74.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 7.64% 2-1 @ 7.54% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.7% Total : 38.56% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.13% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.77% | 0-1 @ 11.97% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.91% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.78% Total : 31.64% |