Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 20, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Portimonense
1 - 2
Porto

Cande (64')
Dener (26'), Willyan (45+1'), Sergio (67'), Beto (71'), Antonio (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Possignolo (45+1' og.), Portugal Lima (67' og.)
Conceicao (67'), Marchesin (71'), Oliveira (90')
Conceicao (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Porto
21.92%	24.22%	53.86%

Both teams to score 50.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57%

50.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64%

72.36%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36%

37.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58%

74.42%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35%

18.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.04%

49.96%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 21.92%

Porto 53.85%

Draw 24.21%

Portimonense	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 6.86% 2-1 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.92%	1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.21%	0-1 @ 11.78% 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.85%