Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 40.43% | 27.83% | 31.74% |
| Both teams to score 47.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% | 58.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.19% | 78.8% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% | 28.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% | 63.87% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% | 33.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% | 70.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.42% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.73% |