Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Apr 2, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
1 - 5
Portimonense

Rochez (68')
Matias (45+1'), Riascos (45+4'), Danilovic (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Beto (33', 54'), Luquinhas (45'), Cande (62'), Fabricio (90+2')
Oliveira (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Portimonense
31.45%	28.86%	39.69%

Both teams to score 44.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.22%

61.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.42%

81.58%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.19%

35.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.41%

72.58%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61%

30.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42%

66.58%

Score Analysis

Nacional 31.45%

Portimonense 39.68%

Draw 28.86%

Nacional	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.01% Total : 31.45%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.86%	0-1 @ 12.96% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 0.94% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.39% Total : 39.68%