Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.28%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 9.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Belenenses |
| 73.28% | 16.96% | 9.76% |
| Both teams to score 45.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% | 42.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% | 64.91% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% | 10.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.69% | 33.31% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.4% | 49.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.62% | 84.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Belenenses |
| 2-0 @ 13.17% 1-0 @ 11.5% 3-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 5.76% 4-1 @ 4.04% 5-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.42% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.08% Total : 73.27% | 1-1 @ 8.06% 0-0 @ 5.02% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.64% Total : 16.96% | 0-1 @ 3.52% 1-2 @ 2.83% 0-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.18% Total : 9.76% |