Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Santa Clara |
40.05% | 28.36% | 31.59% |
Both teams to score 46.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.95% | 60.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.73% | 80.27% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% | 29.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% | 65.28% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.22% | 34.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.49% | 71.51% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.57% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |