Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 40.05% | 28.36% | 31.59% |
| Both teams to score 46.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.95% | 60.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% | 80.27% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% | 29.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% | 65.28% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% | 34.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% | 71.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.57% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.59% |