Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 11, 2021 at 4pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Carlos (53')
Mansur (38'), Villanueva (45+1'), Allano (69'), Crysan (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrigues (46'), Coentrao (73'), Meshino (79'), Augusto (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Rio Ave
38.8%	27.45%	33.75%

Both teams to score 49.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67%

56.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64%

77.36%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76%

28.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05%

63.95%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65%

31.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29%

67.71%

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 38.79%

Rio Ave 33.75%

Draw 27.45%

Santa Clara	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.79%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.75%