Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 42.84% | 28.06% | 29.1% |
| Both teams to score 45.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.24% | 59.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.95% | 80.05% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% | 27.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% | 63.16% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% | 36.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.71% | 73.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.1% |